
Philadelphia Phillies' Didi Gregorius hits a grand slam, also scoring Bryce Harper, J.T. Realmuto and Rhys Hoskins, during the first inning of a baseball game against the Miami Marlins, Saturday, Sept. 12, 2020, in Miami. (AP Photo/Wilfredo Lee)
For all of the additional ways of analysis that have been added to baseball in the 21st century, there is still one simple offensive statistic that reigns supreme.
The home run.
If you have a team that hits them, you most likely have a chance at being a World Series champion. The Los Angeles Dodgers, for example, hit a major league-leading 118 of them last season and surely would have broken Minnesota’s single-season record of 307 had the season been a normal 162 games.
The Philadelphia Phillies weren’t nearly that powerful in their first season under manager Joe Girardi, but they have crept back into the conversation about teams capable of turning a game around with one swing of the bat.
The Phillies, with 82, finished 11th in baseball in home runs last season. That’s the highest they’ve climbed in that department since the Charlie Manuel era. Those Phillies, led by the awesome power of Ryan Howard, were second in home runs every year from 2007 through 2009 (when they set a team record with 224), then slipped to ninth in 2010 and 18th in 2011.
They were among the bottom third teams in baseball in home runs in six of the previous seven years before Girardi’s arrival.
“I like three-run homers just as much as the next guy,” Girardi said via a Zoom call Thursday after his team’s second workout at the Carpenter Complex in Clearwater, Florida. “But you also have to be able to create runs, and we will work on that as well.”
The manager would be derelict in his duties if he did not have his players work on the many ways to score a run, but he was the beneficiary of some powerful teams in New York. During his decade as Yankees manager, his teams finished first in home runs four times, including 2009 when they beat the Phillies in the World Series.
In the six seasons the Yankees made the playoffs during the Girardi era, the team finished fourth or higher in home runs. The four years they did not make the playoffs, they finished ninth, 22nd, 12th, and 19th.
Even without the designated hitter, the Phillies have a chance to improve on their home run total per game in 2021, although it’s possible the totals could drop significantly for all teams since Major League Baseball reportedly plans to slightly deaden the ball after surges in home run totals in recent years.
Girardi said he is in favor of fewer home runs if it also means fewer strikeouts and more action. His great power teams in New York were also always near the top in on-base percentage, OPS, and walks while also striking out less than the league average. That’s what Girardi wants with the Phillies, too. A season ago, the Phillies were eighth in walks and tied for third with a .342 on-base percentage.
“Our game, I really believe, needs more action,” Girardi said. “And I think that’s what baseball is trying to create, so we’re all working at this together. We don’t like the dead time in between contact ... so I prefer that we find a way to increase the action in our game and make it more enjoyable for all of us. Doubles, triples, stolen bases.”
Perhaps that is all true, but don’t expect Girardi to stop happily greeting Bryce Harper or J.T. Realmuto whenever they knock one out and the replica Liberty Bell lights up and starts swinging and ringing at Citizens Bank Park.
One of the main reasons the Phillies might build on their home run totals in 2021 is the return of Realmuto and shortstop Didi Gregorius. Without both of them re-signing, the middle of the Phillies’ order would not have been nearly as potent.
Now?
“Up and down the lineup, we have power at every position,” Realmuto said last week after it was reported the catcher had a fractured right thumb that is expected to sideline through the early stages of spring training. “We obviously have Bryce and Rhys (Hoskins) in the middle, and both those guys can hit 30 or 40 home runs at the drop of a hat if they’re healthy.
“We have that, and we have plenty of other guys in the lineup that can hit 20 to 25, and even the guys at the bottom of the lineup are capable of popping 10 to 15 home runs. When you have that, especially in a park like the one we play in, we’re going to hit a lot of home runs. We just have to do a good job of having guys on base when those home runs happen.”
If Harper, Hoskins, Realmuto, Gregorius, Andrew McCutchen and Jean Segura all matched their career highs in home runs, the Phillies would have 179 home runs for the season. It’s unlikely McCutchen will ever hit 31 again, but he was on pace to hit 27 last season. So were Hoskins and Gregorius. Realmuto was on pace to hit 30.
“It’s something I’ve worked on,” Realmuto said. “I’ve tried to kind of evolve as a hitter and obviously hit for a little more power, but try not to lose too much of my contact approach and still try to be able to put the ball in play. I think there’s a happy medium there.
“Some guys try to get a little too home run happy and they try to go for the 30-home-run seasons and they end up creating holes in their swings and don’t put the ball in play and end up having a .200 batting average. I want to be a guy who consistently puts up more power, but I also don’t want to start chasing and swinging and missing more just because I’m trying to hit home runs.”
The Phillies also have some wild cards in the power department. Scott Kingery, for instance, hit 19 home runs two seasons ago and slammed 26 in 132 games with double-A Reading and triple-A Lehigh Valley in 2017.
Odubel Herrera, who is trying to resurrect his career after a prolonged absence because of a domestic violence charge, hit 22 home runs in 2018. Recently signed free agent Brad Miller hit 12 home runs in 130 plate appearances with the Phillies two years ago. Matt Joyce, who hit 25 home runs with Oakland in 2017, could also add some pop off the bench.
And then there is Alec Bohm. He only hit four home runs as a rookie, but he’s capable of so much more.
“Absolutely, because he’s such a pure hitter,” Realmuto said. “He has that approach where he can hit a line drive to right field field any time he wants. I think he’s one of the rare guys who is going to hit 25 to 30 home runs and still have a high batting average and get on base a lot.”
If that happens in 2021, the Phillies’ single-season team record of 224 home runs could be in jeopardy.
Angels Rangers Baseball

Los Angeles Angels' Mike Trout waves to the dugout after hitting a two-run home run in the first inning of a baseball game against the Texas Rangers in Arlington, Texas, Friday, Aug. 7, 2020. The shot scored David Fletcher. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
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Angels Trout Baseball

FILE - Los Angeles Angels' Mike Trout rounds the bases after hitting a two-run home run during the third inning of the first baseball game of a doubleheader against the Houston Astros in Anaheim, Calif., in this Saturday, Sept. 5, 2020, file photo. Mike Trout is back in spring training with the Angels to chase his first playoff victory. The three-time AL MVP is growing weary of hearing the annual questions about when he'll finally reach that career milestone. (AP Photo/Jae C. Hong, File)
Angels Rangers Baseball

Los Angeles Angels' Mike Trout walks to the dugout during a baseball game against the Texas Rangers in Arlington, Texas, Wednesday, Sept. 9, 2020. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
Angels Giants Baseball

Los Angeles Angels' Mike Trout against the San Francisco Giants during a baseball game in San Francisco, Wednesday, Aug. 19, 2020. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
Angels Rangers Baseball

Los Angeles Angels' Mike Trout heads to the dugout in the seventh inning of a baseball game against the Texas Rangers in Arlington, Texas, Wednesday, Sept. 9, 2020. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
Angels Rockies Baseball

Los Angeles Angels center fielder Mike Trout warms up before a baseball game against the Colorado Rockies, Friday, Sept. 11, 2020, in Denver. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
Angels Rangers Baseball

Los Angeles Angels' Mike Trout stands by the plate during an at-bat in the sixth inning of a baseball game in Arlington, Texas, Saturday, Aug. 8, 2020. Trout singled. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
Angels Dodgers Baseball

Los Angeles Angels' Mike Trout flies out to right field during the first inning of the team's baseball game against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday, Sept. 25, 2020, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
Angels Rockies Baseball

Los Angeles Angels center fielder Mike Trout (27) in the first inning of a baseball game Friday, Sept. 11, 2020, in Denver.(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
Diamondbacks Angels Baseball

Los Angeles Angels' Mike Trout reacts after flying out to Arizona Diamondbacks right fielder Kole Calhoun during the fifth inning of a baseball game Tuesday, Sept. 15, 2020, in Anaheim, Calif. (AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
Angels Dodgers Baseball

Los Angeles Angels' Mike Trout, center, returns to the dugout after hitting a three-run home run during the third inning of the team's baseball game against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday, Sept. 25, 2020, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
Angels Dodgers Baseball

Los Angeles Angels' Mike Trout hits a home run during the third inning of the team's baseball game against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday, Sept. 25, 2020, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
Angels Rangers Baseball

Los Angeles Angels' Mike Trout smiles as he approaches the dugout after hitting a solo home run in the fifth inning of a baseball game against the Texas Rangers in Arlington, Texas, Thursday, Sept. 10, 2020. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
Angels Rangers Baseball

Los Angeles Angels' Mike Trout stands back for the plate after taking a pitch during a baseball game agains the Texas Rangers in Arlington, Texas, Friday, April 28, 2017. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
Angels Rangers Baseball

The Angels’ Mike Trout turns 30 this year. ‘I’m getting older, for sure, but I’m still young,’ he said.
Angels Rangers Baseball

Los Angeles Angels center fielder Mike Trout reaches up to catch a fly ball by Texas Rangers' Leody Taveras during the first inning of a baseball game in Arlington, Texas, Wednesday, Sept. 9, 2020. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
Angels Rangers Baseball

The Los Angeles Angels’ Mike Trout waves to the dugout after hitting a two-run home run against the Texas Rangers on Aug. 7. In 53 games last year, the three-time American League MVP from Millville hit .281 with 17 home runs, 46 RBIs and an OPS of .993.
Angels Rangers Baseball

Los Angeles Angels' Mike Trout celebrates his two-run home run against the Los Angeles Angels in a baseball game in Arlington, Texas, Friday, Aug. 7, 2020. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
Athletics Mariners Baseball

Los Angeles Angels' Mike Trout reacts during an at-bat in the seventh inning of a baseball game, Thursday, Aug. 6, 2020, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Ted S. Warren)
Angels Rockies Baseball

Los Angeles Angels center fielder Mike Trout (27) in the first inning of a baseball game Sunday, Sept. 13, 2020, in Denver. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
Angels Padres Baseball

Los Angeles Angels center fielder Mike Trout warms up before a baseball game against the San Diego Padres, Tuesday, Sept. 22, 2020, in San Diego. (AP Photo/Gregory Bull)
Angels Trout Returns Baseball

Los Angeles Angels center fielder Mike Trout, a Millville resident, speaks during a news conference at spring baseball practice in Tempe, Arizona, on Saturday. Trout is the defending American League MVP.
mike trout documentary

People begin to file into the Levoy Theatre for the viewing of the new documentary "Mike Trout: From Millville to MVP," including members of the Millville baseball team.
PHILLIES MIKE TROUT

Mike Trout of Los Angeles Angels autographs Mayor of Millville Mike Santiago jersey before the game against Philles at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia Tuesday, May 13, 2014.
PHILLIES MIKE TROUT

Mike Trout of the Los Angeles Angels signs autographs for fans before a game against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia in 2014.
PHILLIES MIKE TROUT

Mike Trout of Los Angeles Angels, middle pose with Itell Young 19, left and Kyreem Loatman,17, right member of Millville Baseball team before the game against Philles at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia Tuesday, May 13, 2014.
PHILLIES MIKE TROUT

Mike Trout of Los Angeles Angels autographs Joseph Brasky, 9, foreground South Philadelphia baseball before the game against Philles at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia Tuesday, May 13, 2014.
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Millville's Mike Trout gets a hit against Toms River East, Monday May 18, 2009, during a SJ Group IV playoff baseball game in Millville.
1. Mike Trout, 2009, Millvillle

Trout hit a New Jersey record 18 home runs and led the Thunderbolts to a school record 22 wins as a senior. Trout finished his career with 31 home runs, a .461 batting average, 121 RBIs, 142 hits and 70 stolen bases. Not quite sure what happened to him after high school. Wonder if he ever panned out?
millville baseball_3818920

Millville’s Mike Trout gets a fist bump from teammate Will Biggs after scoring against Toms River East, Monday May 18, 2009, during a SJ Group IV playoff baseball game in Millville.
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