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Will South Jersey see severe weather Saturday as weekend sizzles?
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Will South Jersey see severe weather Saturday as weekend sizzles?

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Saturday and Sunday will bring a pair of 90-degree days to much of the mainland, making it a great day to seek relief at the pool or beach. In terms of rain, Saturday will be a feast-or-famine scenario, while a few pop-up storms are expected Sunday afternoon and night.

We’ll kick off Saturday with a mix of sun and clouds. There were a few light showers that passed during the early to mid-morning. However, for the late morning, sunshine will spike up temperatures.

Temperatures will go into the 80s pretty quickly during the morning as that wind picks up, sustained 15 to 20-mph with gusts to around 30.

High temperatures will sit right around 90 for much of the mainland, save right along the bays, where it will be in the mid- to upper 80s. The shore will be in the low to mid-80s. Besides a little sand blowing around, it will be a nice beach day, with warm water and a low risk of rip currents.

Then, we have to talk about the potential for severe weather. The Storm Prediction Center, a government agency in Norman, Oklahoma, has placed the region in either a level 1, marginal, or level 2, slight, risk. Both indicate that severe storms are possible, not a definite. 

SPC Saturday

The Storm Prediction Center, a government agency based in Norman, Oklahoma, has placed South Jersey in either a level 1 (marginal) or 2 (slight) risk for severe weather. 

However, besides Ocean County I'm not convinced severe weather strikes the region, or even thunderstorms. Any thunderstorms that form, anyway, will be after around 4 p.m., later at the shore. In short, don't cancel your beach plans, don't cancel your cookouts and most outdoor afternoon activities will be fine, minus the heat.

One one hand, those south of Ocean County will see the most amount of destabilizing sunshine and hottest temperatures, as shown by the 90 degree readings. 

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On the other hand, atmospheric dynamics are not there for much of South Jersey. Ocean County is where you start to have those parameters go up. 

As of 10:15 a.m., the radar and satellite for the region. While the far southern portions of New Jersey will see the most sunshine, good for storm development, most of the activity should stay to the north. 

Saturday night should lose the severe potential after 10 p.m. A rouge shower or storm will be around overnight. It’ll be a balmy, sticky one, too. Temperatures will stay in the 80s for much of the evening, sliding into the 70s overnight. Morning lows will be in the low 70s, about 10 degrees above average. That line is drawn roughly along the Atlantic City Expressway. 

Sunday will feature a mix of sun and clouds. It’ll be more comfortable than Saturday. Highs will again be around 90 inland, and the shore will be at or just above 85. However, it will feel like the mid-90s with the heat index. Stay cool however you can.

Sunday Heat Index

The Sunday afternoon heat index from the North American Model. 

I only expect rogue, isolated storms to move about. Any storm can bring a quick half inch if you will be under it, though.

Isolated storms will remain in the picture Sunday night, as a cold front pushes through overnight. We do need the rain, so it will be welcome, with no severe weather expected. Morning lows will be at or just above 70 degrees, sticky yet again.

Monday will be a more seasonable day. While the front will be offshore, keeping us dry, the low-pressure system will meander about New England. That will keep us a bit cooler. Highs look to be 80 to 85.

Finally, if you’re online, your photo can be the main background image for my July weather videos. I’m looking for the best horizontal (landscape) photo that just screams summer. Photos should be taken during the daytime, with no sunrises or sunsets. The winner will be announced on July 1. Thanks for the shots!


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