After a record breaking 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season, there is extra reason to review and examine the list of storm names for the 2021 season.
Colorado State University (CSU), a preeminent institution for hurricane forecasting, despite it's landlocked location, has kept up their more active than usual outlook as the season winds down.
According to the July update, which was initially released on Apr. 8, there is an 16 to 18% chance that a named storm will hit the Jersey Shore through the rest of the season, which ends Nov. 30, with a 6 to 7% risk of a hurricane and 1% risk of a major hurricane.
Zooming out to the whole East Coast, there is a 68% chance of a major hurricane, category three, four or five, landfall between Maine to Florida, higher than the 52% average.
The 2021 Atlantic hurricane season officially began on June 1 and will end on Nov. 30. However, for the seventh year in a row there was a named storm before the official start to Hurricane Season when Subtropical Storm Ana developed in the middle of May, passing near Bermuda.
2020 was an active year for New Jersey when it comes to tropical systems. Tropical Storm Fay in July and Tropical Storm Isaias in August were both tropical storms when they made landfall. Eight hurricanes are forecasted, with three achieving major hurricane status. The 1981 to 2010 average has been 12.1 named storms, with 6.4 hurricanes and 2.7 major hurricanes.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Story released their hurricane forecast on May 20. Their forecast shows a likely above average season as well.