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RECAP: Rain turned to snow Thursday and hung on in Cape May County

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8:20 p.m. - The snow is over for South Jersey. It rolled off the Cape May coast around 7:15 p.m. The National Weather Service didn't report any snowfall totals from the region. However, judging by social media posts, coatings were seen, melting back quickly.

Icy spots will develop during the evening, as temperatures fall into the 20s and teens. Untreated roads and sidewalks will be hazardous so do watch yourself into the night.

Thanks for choosing The Press of Atlantic City for your weather. 

3:05 p.m. - Sorry for not hopping back on for a few hours. I just finished updating our article on what to know about the Friday night into Saturday nor'easter. Spoiler alert: It'll be a miss for much of the area

On the other hand, snow is still coming down in southeastern New Jersey, which has changed over to rain just above everywhere. However, it's not falling everywhere in the region. Toms River, Greenwich and Hammonton are all dry.

At this point, the snow is moving more north, along the axis of the cold front, than east, the direction the front is moving. You have to look to Delaware and Maryland to see what will happen in the region and signs point toward snow for a few more hours.

With the sun setting and temperatures cooling, snow will start to accumulate. However, if you're dry now, I don't expect anymore flakes to fly for you. 

Noon - Atlantic City, Cape May Court House and Cape May are among the places near the shore that are still raining. Joe has a forecast update

10:00 a.m. - Rain is changing to snow in our corner of the state. As of 10 a.m. changeovers to snow are seen in northern Ocean County.

Correlation Coefficient Radar

This is the correlation coefficient (CC) part of the radar as of 10:05 a.m. The CC shows the uniformity of the object that the radar beam hits. The area of lower CC is the line between rain and snow. 

It does look like the coating to 1.5 inch amounts for most of the area will verify, but expect it to be on the lower end. 

8:20 a.m. -  The snow forecast will go as planned but the steady rain, and the change to snow, are taking longer than I expected. Readjusting for the new information, here's what to expect.

Rain showers did begin between 1 and 3 a.m. However, the steady rain will have worked in between 7 and 10 a.m. Thursday, from west to east across the area. 

Future Radar

The HRRR, American model, for Thursday in the region. 

From there, a cold front will pass, flipping winds from southwest to northwest across the area. That will bring a drop in temperatures, cold enough to flip rain to snow.

This has also been delayed. This is partially because cold air does take a long time to flip from rain to snow but it's also because the precipitation is taking longer to arrive.

Figure that it will snow as early as 9:30 a.m. in Manchester or Bridgeton, but take until noon for a flip to Cape May.

Light to moderate (0.5 to 1.0 inch per hour snow) will be around for the midday and afternoon. The slower timing of the front means that snow will end between 3 and 5 p.m., again from west to east. 

A coating to 1.5 inches will be likely for most of our region. However, 1.5 to 3 inches will fall in places like Bridgeton or Manchester, closer to the New Jersey Turnpike. I'd use the lower end of the totals for this.

7:30 a.m. - Joe Martucci here. As the rain turns to snow, I want to see your snowfall measurements. Submit them on social media. Just make sure to include a photo with the ruler in the ground. 

Original Story

A fairly minor snow event will take hold of the region Thursday.

A cold front will pass Thursday morning, flipping winds from southwest to northwest across the area. That will bring a drop in temperatures, cold enough to flip rain to snow. This will likely occur as early as 8 a.m. in Bridgeton or Manchester and as late at 10 a.m. in Atlantic City and Cape May. 

Light (under 0.5 inches per hour) to moderate (0.5 to 1.0 inch per hour snow) will be around until it ends 1 to 3 p.m.

I bumped up snowfall totals slightly compared to Tuesday. A coating to 1.5 inches will be likely for most of our region. However, 1.5 to 3 inches will fall in places like Bridgeton or Manchester, closer to the New Jersey Turnpike.

Contact Joe Martucci:

609-272-7247

jmartucci@pressofac.com

Twitter @acpressmartucci

 
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